What happens if the US imposes Chinese taxes on December 15th

Manulife Investment Management expert in Hong Kong said that if the US still imposes Chinese taxes, Trump will be considered a “Christmas thief”.

Su Trinh, Director of Global Macro Strategy of Manulife Investment Management in Hong Kong, said that “this would be a huge shock to the market” if the US actually imposed tariffs on 160 billion USD of Chinese goods on 15 / 12, according to the plan Trump announced a few months ago.

Chris Weston – Research Director of Pepperstone Group also said that this will be “a crazy day”. The S&P 500 may lose 2%. Currencies like the yuan, Australian dollars and Korean won will fluctuate. However, the market may increase slightly after that, especially if the two countries agree to continue negotiations in 2020.

Yesterday, US President Donald Trump imposed steel import duties on Brazil and Argentina, and proposed imposing a tax on France to retaliate its tax with U.S. technology giants. Trump’s preference for taxation sparked the strongest 2-month sell-off session on Wall Street yesterday.

On Bloomberg, Tongli Han – Chief Investment Officer at Deepblue Global Investment predicts “The future will be very gloomy in the short term, about 1-2 months” and “all will turn to risk prevention mode”. “What has happened recently has made the deal even more expensive for Chinese leaders,” he said.

Steve Brice, an investment strategist at Standard Chartered advises that as 2019 nears the end and the prospect of reaching a further trade agreement, it is time for investors to remove their risky assets. “My advice is to cut down stocks, or at least not to join the market right now,” he said, “In the next few weeks, if the market drops 6-7%, consider withdrawing assets. “. In the long run, though, Brice is optimistic that “the US and China will sign a deal. This will reduce risks and help the global economy prosper.”

For Eli Lee – Director of Investment Strategy of Bank of Singapore, the US stock market going down yesterday was an opportunity to buy. The impetus on South American and European countries could be Trump’s attempt to strengthen the “liking to tax” image in negotiations with China.

“When the economy is in a fragile state, if Trump imposes Chinese taxes, the risk of a recession will skyrocket. The White House will not want this situation to last into the 2020 presidential election,” Lee said.

Is Investing in Stocks like Gambling in Casinos?

There are many people who say that investing in stocks is like gambling in the Casino. Perhaps so, investment and gambling are all related to risk. But gambling is often a short-term activity, while stock investing can last a lifetime. So, in the end, is stocks investment gambling?

Investment is the act of allocating capital to an asset such as a stock with the expectation of making a profit. Risks and profits go hand in hand. Low risk equals lower expected profit while higher profit is usually associated with higher risk. Gambling is a bet based on randomness. That means you will risk making money in an uncertain event and not have many opportunities.

Investors must always decide the amount of money they want to risk, for example 2-5% of the capital. Investors almost know the advantages of diversifying their portfolios. However, expectation of risks and profits can vary greatly in the same asset class, especially stocks.

In essence, this is a risk management strategy in investing: Allocating capital on different assets or different types of assets in the same portfolio, can help minimize potential losses. There are many investors who use technical analysis on stock charts to improve their holding efficiency. Besides, the profit from stock investment will be affected more or less by the commissions paid for stock trading.

More importantly, when you gamble, you own nothing, but when you invest in a stock, you own a stake in the company. And in fact you can even receive company dividends in the form of stocks.

Like investors, gamblers must also weigh the capital carefully. Most professional gamblers are quite proficient in risk management. They carefully study the rules of the game as well as the opponent or the thing they bet on. Card players often seek advantage from other players like poker. They also study the opponent’s manners and betting patterns in hopes of obtaining useful information.

In both gambling and investing, the main principle is to minimize risks and maximize profits. But, when it comes to gambling, the house always has an advantage over the player. In contrast, the stock market is likely to keep rising in the long run. This does not mean that a gambler will never win the lottery and that does not mean that a stock investor will always enjoy positive returns. However, over time, if you continue to play, the odds will become more beneficial to investors than a gambler. You can challenge yourself by researching online casinos podcast before investing in stocks seriously.

US stocks set a new record, closing for the 5th week in a row

All three major indices of the US stock market set a new record at the close on Friday, with the S&P 500 closing the week for the fifth consecutive session, although investors were still skeptical about negotiations.

According to Reuters, concerns about progress on the trade talks table between the world’s two largest economies surfaced earlier in the day, when President Donald Trump said he had not agreed to withdraw the desired tariffs. of China.

Earlier on Thursday, both US and Chinese officials said the two sides agreed to gradually lift tariffs imposed on each other’s goods.

Tim Ghriskey, strategist at Invernss Counsel, said the market was volatile after Mr. Trump’s statement, but soon the indexes recovered.

“The feeling now is that we will see some kind of agreement before the end of the year,” Ghriskey said.

Firmly increasing is the main trend of US stocks in recent sessions, with new records continuously being established. The catalyst for this upward move, in addition to being optimistic about the war situation, was also the interest rate lowering action of the Federal Reserve (FED) and a series of figures that were better than the US economic forecast.

The VIX index measures the volatility of US stocks thus ending Friday’s session at its lowest level since July 24.

Walt Disney shares played an important push for the S&P 500 this session, with a 3.8% gain after the entertainment company announced better-than-expected business results.

At the close, the Dow Jones increased by 0.02%, reaching 27,681.24 points. The S&P 500 index increased by 0.26%, reaching 3,093.08 points. The Nasdaq index increased by 0.48%, reaching 8,475.31 points.

For the whole week, the S&P 500 increased by 0.8%, marking the fifth consecutive week of increases. Nasdaq increased 1.1%, marking the sixth consecutive week of increases. Dow Jones rose 1.2% for the week.

Positive third-quarter earnings report season is also another important factor behind this rising chain of US stocks. Of the 446 companies in the S&P 500 that have released their business results so far, about three-quarters have exceeded their forecast, according to Refinitiv data.

Technology shares also played a key role in Friday’s market, with Microsoft up 1.2%.

Gap shares, meanwhile, slumped 7.6% after the fashion retailer announced that CEO Pion Art Peck would resign, an unexpected departure as Gap is restructuring. In addition, the company also cut its profit forecast for the year.

On the NYSE, the number of gainers this session was 1.07 times the number of losers. On the Nasdaq, the corresponding rate is 1.13 times. A total of 6.59 billion shares were successfully transferred, compared to the average of 6.79 billion shares per session of the last 20 trading days.

Li Ning: The Hottest Sportswear Stock in The World

The hottest sportswear brand in the world today, at least in the stock market, is a Chinese company founded by a former Olympic athlete: Li Ning.

Since the beginning of the year, Li Ning shares listed on the Hong Kong stock market have more than tripled, which enables it to be among the best-performing stocks in the MSCI Asia Pacific and Best gain in the group of textile companies globally.

Li Ning is benefiting from the growing Chinese appetite for sportswear. According to Morgan Stanley, the bank has just raised the target price for Li Ning shares by 33%. In addition, the scandal surrounding Hong Kong protest after a controversial statement from the basketball team manager of Houston Rockets of the American NBA professional basketball tournament also triggered a wave of support for domestic brands to patriotism, of which Li Ning is one of the brands to benefit.

This is not the first time that Li Ning stock has soared since its listing in 2004. This stock has achieved similar levels in 2007 and 2010, before plummeting and remaining flat in the past few years. due to making some business strategy mistakes.

This time, the momentum came from the end of last year in the context of investors seeking consumer companies rated as immune to the economic slowdown and trade war. Li Ning’s rival Anta has also seen its stock increase 87% since the beginning of the year.

Although Li Ning’s stock looks expensive with a P / E of 35 times, compared to Nike’s 30 times and Adidas’s 25 times, analysts are still very optimistic about the stock. Among Bloomberg survey experts, 28 recommended buying, 6 were neutral and no one recommended selling.

The company was founded in 1990 by Li Ning – a famous Chinese Olympic athlete. After retiring, he built a professional sports equipment company. The company specializes in manufacturing footwear, apparel and other accessory products for a range of sports such as basketball, football, tennis, swimming and bodybuilding.

World stocks rebounded after positive signals from US-China negotiations

European-American stocks rebounded on Oct. 9 after speculation that China was willing to come to a partial agreement with the US at trade talks taking place this week.

On Wall Street, Dow Jones industrial index increased by 0.7% to 26,346.01 points. The S&P 500 also increased by 0.9% to 2,919.40 points, while the Nasdaq Composite technology index advanced by 1% and closed at 7,903.74 points.

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 9, 2018. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

On the other side of the Atlantic, European stock markets are also racing.

Specifically, the FTSE 100 index in London (United Kingdom) increased by 0.3% to 7,166.5 points, the CAC 40 index in Paris (France) recorded an additional 0.8% and reached 5,499.14 points. The DAX 30 index on the Frankfurt floor (Germany) advanced 1% to 12,094.26 points.

The EUR STOXX 50 composite index also inched 0.9% and closed at 3,459.14 points.

In the previous 9/10 session, markets dropped sharply after the new US sanctions on 28 Chinese entities led to a backlash from Beijing.

This move has made the situation more tense before the high-level trade talks between the two countries began on October 10 in Washington.

However, markets on both sides of the Atlantic bounced back after reports emerged that a smaller scale deal was still within reach, as Beijing agreed to buy more American agricultural products. In exchange for Washington’s delay in implementing new tariff measures.

This information helped relieve some of investors’ insecurity when it was less than a week before the next US sanctions tax will take effect on October 15.

LBBW expert Karl Haeling said the hope rekindled even though everything seemed to be deadlocked before.

However, senior market analyst Craig Erlam at investment brokerage firm Oanda noted that the market has repeatedly misjudged the signals surrounding previous trade talks.

He said that investors were quick to respond very positively to the more optimistic outlook of the negotiations at this time. But there has been a lot of “jamming signal” surrounding previous talks and this may be just the same.

Thai Tennis Coach and Stories of Increase in Stock Market

The story of the Thai tennis coach points out that the rise of the emerging stock market is due to non-essential consumer goods stocks and this trend continues to be promoted by investors.

Samark Srisarakham first came to Bangkok with his brother when he was 11 years old, sleeping in a public bed right next to a tennis court. He did not dare to imagine growing up with life with beautiful restaurants, new clothes and the most modern electric appliances.

But 30 years later, he became a tennis coach in the Thai capital. He is a perfect illustration of what former Goldman Sachs bank president Jim O’Neil called “the greatest story in the world” when it comes to investing:   consumer advancement in emerging markets.

Coming from a poor town in rural northern Thailand, Samak owns 3 properties and 2 cars. His two daughters attend international school, and his family has a collection of smartphones and tablets. Samak’s life-changing stories from poverty to wealth are the key to explaining the biggest gains in emerging-market stocks this year.

Shares of non-essential consumer companies rose 23% in 2017. These companies specialize in selling products that serve purposes beyond what is needed when consumers have more than enough money to spend. Rising technology stocks helped push MSCI emerging market index the best year since 2009.

Angelo Corbetta, Head of Asia Equity at Pioneer Investments Ltd in London, said: Consumer spending is a key driver of growth across emerging markets, especially in Europe. ASIAN.

While poorer countries suffer from a shortage of infrastructure, e-commerce is filling that gap. Thus, it helps to boost consumption through going to select stores according to buyers’ needs. Consumption trends have changed rapidly in the past few years with sales focused on online sales improved with an increasing number of users of digital technology.

London Stock Exchange Wants to Spend 27 Billion USD to Buy Refinitiv

LSE is negotiating to buy Refinitiv Holdings financial data analysis company for $ 27 billion including debt.

According to Reuters, the acquisition comes less than a year after US asset management company Blackstone Group acquired a majority stake in Refinitiv from Thomson Reuters information and media company. In the deal with Blackstone, Refinitiv is valued at $ 20 billion including debt. Thomson Reuters is the parent company of Reuters News, which currently owns a 45% stake in Refinitiv.

LSE said it plans to issue new shares to pay for the deal, which will make Refinitiv’s existing investors become shareholders of the LSE. In the company after the merger, Refinitiv’s current shareholders will hold about 37% and less than 30% of the voting rights. Refinitiv had a debt of $ 12.2 billion at the end of December last year, the result of the acquisition by Blackstone. LSE is expected to take over this debt if it can buy Refinitiv.

LSE said that the possibility of negotiating with Refinitiv is not certain. The source of information revealed if the two sides agreed to the transaction, the agreement will be finalized next week.

Thomson Reuters shares rose 4.5%, reaching a record high in Friday’s session in Toronto, after news of the deal was announced. This stock price has increased 62% since January 2017, when Blackstone and Thomson Reuters announced the Refinitiv deal.

Owning Refinitiv will help LSE expand its information services business – an area that this floor is aiming to become a more stable source of revenue compared to the main activities related to transactions.

LSE operates stock markets and derivative transactions including London Stock Exchange, Borsa Italiana, MTS and Turquoise. The company has a market capitalization of around £ 19.3 billion ($ 23.9 billion) and a debt of about £ 1 billion.

Refinitiv purchases can help LSE reduce the shock from market fluctuations that may occur in the case of Britain leaving the European Union (EU), ie Brexit, without agreement.

The worldwide sports monetary trade allows investors to buy groups like stocks

What could you say if we informed you that you may start to spend money on your favorite sports teams? At the same time as still in early ranges, the global sports monetary exchange (GSFE) is imparting investors and sports enthusiasts alike an possibility to place up actual coins behind their favored professional sports franchises.

Take a look at out AllSportsMarket.com to get began with the global sports activities monetary alternate. In this newsletter, we’ll outline how the global sports economic alternate works, why it’s so specific, and the way it’s some other interesting instance of ways enmeshed finance and sports activities having a bet are.

How Does the GSFE work?
The global sports monetary change is a charming blend of the fundamentals of the inventory marketplace and the concepts of futures bets. Ward and Nicholls aren’t huge sports activities bettors, and that they’ve made no public statements suggesting that they’ve ever dabbled with any sportsbooks. but, the similarities among investing in a team, and having a bet on them, aren’t as large as you might assume. if you want to examine extra about that, examine our article comparing the inventory marketplace and sports making a bet.

The essential principle behind the GSFE is that bettors “very own” a bit little bit of a sports team; via sinking money right into a group’s stocks, an investor certainly has a vested interest in a team.

The essential precept to preserve in thoughts approximately the worldwide sports economic trade is that it’s not a zero-sum recreation; you received’t outright win or outright lose any of your bets. rather, you’ll see increase and decline within the price of the stock you’re protecting.

Most customarily, a group’s win-loss ratio will dictate their quick-time period stock charge. factors a good way to have an effect on a crew’s stock charge are the long-run trades, how robust a crew’s draft is, and possession adjustments.

Business man with group of balls of different sports in hand at stadium

In light of any new information or maybe hunches, buyers can cross long or short on whichever teams they feel are poised for achievement and failure. if you assume the Vancouver Canucks are set to polish inside the destiny, you’ll need to buy inventory in them even as they’re inside the basement of the league. the mantra that every investor lives through is purchase low, promote high!

As with all market, your shares expenses may be suffering from many different factors, from a broader disintegrate of the marketplace to activities specifics to the group you’re preserving inventory in.

At the GSFE, traders can buy, sell, and quick shares of whichever group they preference. There are no regulations on this regard. In essence, buyers are trading in shares in their preferred teams, no special than if they were replacing shares in Apple. Exceptional of all, at the same time as the marketplace continues to be (extraordinarily) small, you don’t ought to pay very huge agents prices.

In fact, the consistent with Ward the GFSE is built upon ” the precise same structure that was used while the ny inventory trade first opened in 1817.” presently, there are over 614 particular shares to be had to purchase.

Every other exceptional feature particular to the GFSE is that on every occasion the crew they’re invested in wins, they’ll get hold of a small dividend.

In case you suppose that all of us can replicate this change, think once more. Ward and Nicholls have locked down 100s of patents, in over a hundred and forty one of a kind international locations. For now, their sports group inventory trade is secure from infringement. Similarly, the global sports activities monetary alternate works intently with the Securities change fee (SEC) to keep to expand their market. Working with a framework and thoroughly unique concept, Ward and Nicholls frequently collaborate with regulatory our bodies to perfect their market shape, and to make sure that their investor’s protection and safety.

Football festival, global stock market will fall points?

Trading volume fell sharply

During the 2010 World Cup held in South Africa, many matches were played at the same time as the trading hours of many stock markets around the world. According to ECB statistics, there are 15 large stock markets including: Germany, England, France, Italy, Spain, Denmark, Netherlands, America, South Africa, Argentina, etc., there are 3 points worth Note the following:

(1) In the market of some countries, for every game with a national team (such as England, France) participating, the average number of orders reduced by 45%, the volume of trading shares decreased by 55%. .

(2) The market is affected by the matches. Specifically, after a match, each country’s stock index fell an average of 5%. This reduction was statistically significant at lunchtime after the morning session, and many investors did not pay attention.

(3) The global stock market’s temperature is contrary to the World Cup matches, in more than 20% of the time the games are played, global stocks fall. Investors seem to be willing to spend more money on alcohol and popcorn than focus on price lists during this time.

Another 2007 study also showed that during the World Cup, a defeat of the national team could make that national stock market drop sharply the next day.

Slight increases in the stock market of the winning country

After the World Cup, markets with national teams that have won the championship have always gained points since 1974. The only external case for Brazil in 2002, the rest of those markets rose immediately after that to the average. 3.5% and maintained for 3 months.

The stock market of the losing country lost points

In the Goldman Sachs report, 7 out of 9 stock markets of the losers in the final also suffered a “sharp decline” with an average decrease of 5.6% in the following three months.

Another study, entitled ‘Love for Sport and Profit from Securities’, lists statistics from 1100 matches and stock market yields of 39 countries, showing that each team has a In the qualifying round, the country’s stock market fell 0.5% the next day.

There are no serious consequences for the value of stocks or the country’s economy, but simply the mood of investors affected. That’s why the World Cup defeats have more serious consequences than the European Championship or other sports such as baseball, basketball, cricket, rugby … Especially, the most serious impact in “crazy football” countries like Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy and Spain.

The US market is always down after every World Cup

A study by Israeli experts said the average post-World Cup US stock market plunged 2.6%, calculated over 14 of the last 15 World Cups. This may seem unusual, because Americans prefer rugby football. However, one-third of transactions on the US stock market are carried out by foreign investors. So after every World Cup round, with the number of national teams going up, there are some foreign investors sad.

Movements of stocks are very different on stock exchanges

Statistics on STMicroelectronics (STM) shares traded on Italian and French stock exchanges showed different up / down trends of this stock on both exchanges when impacted by football matches.

Normally, a firm’s stock will have the same direction of increase / decrease on international exchanges. However, in the 2-1 World Cup victory against South Africa, STM shares fell sharply every time South Africa scored but did not happen in the Italian market. Similarly, after Italy lost to Slovakia, STM slumped on the Milan stock exchange, but not in Paris.

Facebook’s “seismic” virtual currency

Facebook, on June 18, said it would release the Libra virtual currency, scheduled for official trading from early 2020. Described as a global financial-monetary infrastructure, Libra was affirmed by Facebook’s leader “not created for the purpose of replacing major central banks”. However, this currency is evaluated by analysts to create a global seismic in the financial industry.

With more than 2.4 billion Facebook users every month, Libra has the ability to change the face of the financial market, according to The Guardian. Bloomberg in the recent article said that if successful, Libra could turn Facebook into a ‘big player’ in the financial industry.

Compared to the rest of the money market built on blockchain technology, Libra has two distinct characteristics: how to manage and operate.

Unlike other virtual currencies that are also based on the Blockchain, Libra is not created by “digging”, but this currency is issued based on a real amount of collateral. Simply put, this digital currency is created in the same way that central banks around the world issue paper money.

In the newly published White Paper, Facebook claims Libra is a “stable currency”, due to its value attached to real assets. Basically, the only way to increase the number of circulating Libra is that users use other currencies, such as US dollars, euros, yuan or yen to buy Libra and this amount is considered “assets.” guarantee “the amount of Libra this person owns.

“Facebook introduced Libra at the moment as a turning point for the company’s operations and the money market,” said Mark Mahaney, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets. “In terms of size and importance, we believe this new financial platform may be similar to the time Apple introduced the IOS operating system for developers more than a decade ago.”

The amount of Libra collateral will be placed in banks or invested in low-risk lucrative assets, such as US government bonds, but the profits are not distributed to Libra owners. used for the operation of this currency management organization, such as funding for research activities or social activities.

This pre-system is also managed by an organization called Libra Association – an independent, non-profit organization based in Geneva, Switzerland. The organization has two main functions: authenticating transactions using Blockchain Libra and managing Libra volumes related to social purposes.

Companies that contribute at least $ 10 million are considered to be founding members of Libra Association, and there are now 27 technology companies that claim to be partners with Facebook, including some big names like Paypal, Ebay, Spotify, Uber, Lyft, Visa, Mastercard …

However, with the influence of social networks of 2.4 billion users, Facebook may face many barriers before bringing Libra to consumers.

According to Bloomberg, the new announcement from Facebook immediately faced opposition in Europe, with a call to adopt stricter regulations.

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said Libra should not be considered a replacement for traditional currencies. At the same time, the head of the French financial agency called on the group of 7 central bank governors to prepare to report on this project right in the July meeting.

“Libra has undoubtedly become a legal currency,” Le Maire said in an interview with Europe 1. “This is an impossible and impossible problem.”

In the context that Facebook is suffering from numerous criticisms of privacy violations, the new move in the financial sector also draws attention from regulators and privacy advocates worldwide. gender. According to The Guardian, the US and UK authorities have expressed concern about the plan to encroach on Facebook’s financial sector.

In May, members of the US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Issues wrote to Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg asking for questions regarding privacy and regulations. finance.

“It is important to understand how large social platforms use data available in ways that affect the financial life of consumers,” the content of the letter is written. “More importantly, understand how large social platforms use financial data to profile and select target customers.”