Seven Financial Lessons the COVID-19 Pandemic Teaches Us (part 1)

During these times, many have found themselves stuck at home, wondering what they could have done differently and how to let that knowledge better their decision-making in the future. Financially, the COVID-19 pandemic has provided its fair share of lessons, which we would have rather not learned by such a hard way. However, the point should be to move forward wiser and more determined than ever before rather than to dwell on regretful mistakes.  So what lessons have we learned these days?

1. Overconfidence leads to poor financial decision-making

It is astounding that the difference a few weeks can make. Not too long ago, the financial market was reaching new heights at the same time unemployment was hitting rock-bottom lows. All seemed good. And many people were making financial decisions as if nothing could change – spending more, saving less, selecting riskier investments, and accumulating debt. However, everything has changed and it exposed the fragile financial house having been built. Fact shows that overconfidence leads to poor financial decision-making and is too aggressive in some areas. We must be wiser.

2. Everyone needs an emergency fund

Financial experts have emphasized the importance of emergency funds for some time. The reason is that a financial emergency is not a matter of whether or not but when. An adequate emergency fund can get you through times as your income is low or even nonexistent. Those with money set aside for an emergency are better able to weather this crisis.

3. Developing multiple streams of income is important

There are many reasons why people get side gigs: to save for the future, pay down debt, or give away more. What the pandemic has taught us is that multiple streams of income not only help us reach our financial goals during good times but they also help us make it through times under the common economy tanks and layoffs. The additional income streams also provide an opportunity to generate some income even if we lost a job.

What caused the 2008 financial crisis?

The unexpected COVID-19 pandemic has made financial markets around the world fall free, causing fears of a recession that will rival the financial crisis in 2008 when world leaders strive to stave off economic calamity.

The peril signs have naturally raised questions about the similarity of the current situation with the 2008 financial crisis, which is known as the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression.

However, the 2008 crisis was different from the ongoing economic issues due to social distancing regulations and lockdowns quarantines.

WHAT TRIGGERS AN ECONOMIC DOWNTURN?

The worst economic downturn since the Great Depression was triggered by the overheating of the housing markets. The reason was that banks and other lenders approved mortgages, sometimes to borrowers that had poor credit histories, which drove up home prices to astronomical levels. Then banks sold the risky mortgage-backed securities to other financial organizations.

Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Morgan Stanley, and Merrill Lynch, and many other big financial conglomerates all became lenders of mortgages. A 2018 paper published by the University of California Berkeley showed that Citigroup held onto $43 billion of high-risk mortgage-backed securities, UBS $50 billion, Morgan Stanley $11 billion, and Merrill Lynch $32 billion by the summer of 2007.

WHAT HAPPENS DURING A CRISIS?

The mentioned paper also said, “Since these institutions were producing and investing in risky loans, they were thus extremely vulnerable when housing prices dropped and foreclosures increased in 2007.”

Due to a glut of new homes on the market, housing prices across the U.S. started to plummet, which means that homeowners and their mortgage lenders were suddenly underwater since they owed on the mortgage more than the estimated value of their property. Owners lost their homes after having defaulted on their mortgage payments while banks holding the securities were pushed toward bankruptcy.

That the mortgage industry collapsed shocked not only the U.S. but also the global economy, the authors of the UC Berkeley paper wrote. If it had not been for the strong intervention of the government, U.S. homeowners and workers would have experienced even greater losses.

US Stock Fell Again and Asian Stocks Sank Into The Red

The rising number of infections combined with the US Congress’s disapproval of aid made the US futures stock once again down to the limit.

In the session today 22/3 US time, the S&P 500 has lost 5% of the value, the reduction of the floor so that lower transactions are not allowed to perform. Australian stocks sometimes dropped by 8% while South Korean and Hong Kong stocks lost about 5% of their value. The dollar continued to appreciate against other currencies in the currency basket. The New Zealand dollar fell.

In the context of investors assessing the severity of the upcoming recession, James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, the US unemployment rate is expected to reach 30% in the second quarter due to business activities stalled by the virus spread.

The market is now heading towards a global crisis that will occur as the previous warnings. In this case, Goldman Sachs strategists Kamakshya Trivedi and Zach Pandl say that investors should be defensive.

The uncertainty surrounding the timing and extent of the corona virus’s impact on the global economy remains high. The pessimistic signals covered and the figures reflecting the increasing impact caused investors to sell off assets to keep cash.

In the context of a series of countries launching stimulus measures, the strong spread of viruses makes them less valuable. The recession in the US can be very profound and the unemployment rate may soar, Morgan Stanley warned.

In the United States, the Democratic Party prevented the US Senate from accepting a huge package of anti-virus aid when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that the measures had not yet achieved the desired goals. In the latest policy moves elsewhere, the New Zealand Central Bank said it would buy up to $ 17 billion of government bonds in the secondary market in the next year. The Central Bank of Thailand has taken steps to stabilize its financial system.

Man Utd Stock in 2012: Why Did They Delay NYSE Stock Float?

The instability of the New York stock market in 2012 has caused the issuance of stocks, the solution that MU used to write off debts, must be temporarily shelved.

According to The Guardian, Man Utd decided to postpone the issuance of shares on the New York Stock Exchange, because of concerns that the unrest in Wall Street could lead to unpredictable consequences.

Before coming to New York, Man Utd had looked at the Far East stock market, from Hong Kong to Singapore, but all have to ignore because of the instability in these markets.

The New York market was chosen in the hope that the stock would help the club get the financial resources to cover the £ 423 million debt. However, the erratic rise and fall of the S&P, Nasdaq and Dow indices on Wall Street caused anxiety for the management of Man Utd that year. Therefore, they decided to postpone the release.

According to the original plan, M.U will list shares on the New York Stock Exchange from the beginning of August 2012 but now this plan is temporarily postponed. M.U’s financial advisers are reconsidering a plan to issue shares after the Euro zone experienced another week of crisis, causing the stock market to fall.

The Glazer father and son bought M.U for £ 790 million in 2005. The transfer was strongly opposed by M.U fans. They use the banners in order to protest the arrival of Glazer. The reason MU fans are against the Glazer family is to own their team because the American businessman is in debt that his plan to issue shares of MU on the NYSE is to deal with bank debt.

This action has caused Man Utd fans to immediately react in a negative direction. The stock market is arguably the best solution the club has to write off debt, something the team has suffered since the Glazer family took over Old Trafford in 2005.

Korean Stocks Plunged Because of Covid-19

The Kospi index is now down 2.76% and other Asian markets also go down after South Korea raised its disease warning to its highest level.

Samsung Electronics yesterday confirmed a worker at a South Korean phone factory positive for nCoV. The entire plant has been closed, Reuters said. However, Samsung claims this facility only contributes a small part in its smartphone production. Samsung shares this morning fell 2.7%.

To date, 6 people have died from the disease in South Korea, according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The number of infections has skyrocketed recently, bringing the total number of cases to over 600, making Korea the second largest outbreak in the world.

According to Yonhap, investment banks and large economic organizations forecast the growth of the Korean economy will slide below 2% in 2020 due to the impact of the Covid-19 epidemic. In recent days, a new strain of corona virus has attacked South Korea’s economic activities. The average daily export of South Korea decreased by 9.3% in the first 20 days of February compared to the same period in 2019.

The Chinese market opened just lower. The Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Composite lost 0.1%. Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong) lost 0.75%.

The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index is now down 1.5%. Other markets such as Australia, Taiwan, and Singapore are all going down. Japanese market is closed today.

Global investors are still watching the evolution of the Covid-19 epidemic and its economic impact. New outbreaks outside China, such as South Korea, the Middle East and Italy, are the focus of investors’ attention. Strong control measures have been implemented and will inflict a severe blow on the global economy.

The Korean won lost 0.8% this morning against the US dollar, currently at the 6-month bottom at 1,218 KRW per USD. Both Japanese yen and Australian dollar are depreciating against the greenback.

In commodity markets, crude oil prices are plummeting. Brent currently lost 3%, about $ 56.8 a barrel. And WTI oil fell 2.5% to 52 USD. World gold price this morning continued to increase, currently trading around USD 1,660 an ounce.

Positive US Economic Growth Makes World Stock Market Go Green

The US stock market closed the trading day on 10-2 with signs of prosperity and stock indexes in Asia also increased slightly in the opening session in the morning of 11-2.

According to MarketWatch, in the morning 11-2, MSCI stock index, excluding Japan (closed due to holidays), increased slightly by 0.1% points, Australian stocks rose 0.6% points and Korea’s KOSPI index increased by 0.7% points. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes increased well at the end of February 10 (US time) when investors recorded good sales of US companies in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Concerns about global supply chain disruptions due to the 2019-nCoV pneumonia epidemic have also subsided. Millions of workers and factories in China gradually return to work after the long Chinese New Year holidays.

Ending the session on 10 February at the New York Exchange (USA), some leading stocks of large corporations such as Amazon.com, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc increased, which created a force to push 3 key stock indexes of the US market simultaneously gained.

Specifically, the Dow Jones increased by 174.31 points (0.6%) to 29,276.82 points and the S&P 500 increased by 24.39 points (0.73%) to 3,352.1 points. Especially, the Nasdaq Composite increased 107.88 points (1.13%) to a new record of 9,628.39 points.

In addition to factors related to economic activity in China, the US economic situation has many positive signs also somewhat make investors more excited. Analysts said the US economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2019 could reach 2.3%, higher than the forecast of 2% made in early January.

Whereas, concerned about the complicated development of the epidemic in China, will affect production and business activities in this Asian country, gold and USD are considered safe haven for investors.

Gold and USD prices simultaneously increased in the trading session on February 10. Future gold price in the US market increased by 0.4% to 1,579 USD / oz. Meanwhile, the dollar rose 0.17%. World oil prices have fallen by 20% compared to peak oil prices in January 2020 due to demand for oil in China, the world’s No. 1 importer of oil, plummeting due to epidemics.

Football Stocks Is Affected by Fans

Not only the player or the facilities, but the fan is also a factor that increases the stock value of many European teams. However, to be able to issue shares to the public (IPO), football clubs need both a long step and large assets to prepare.

Stocks of soccer clubs began to appear in the stock market in the early 1990s. The first clubs were Manchester United, Chelsea, Leeds United, Liverpool, etc.

One of the first strengths that clubs need is to own their own football fields as a collateral, which is also a key place to play and practice matches. Manchester United Club (MU) owns the second largest Old Trafford Stadium in England, after the Wembley National Stadium. The stadiums also have a museum area, a traditional room, a restaurant (Red Café – Old Trafford) and special rooms for VIPs. The training center is a medium area with many physiotherapy rooms, swimming pools, etc.

The system to find young talent and train good young players is an advantage that clubs have to show class. MU has this center since 1930, has trained many excellent players like Duncan Edwards, Bobby Charlton, Ryan Giggs, David Beckham, Paul Scholes, etc.

Funding comes from the tournaments as well as the sponsors and sponsors who contribute to the club’s operation, maintenance and development. In addition, it is a source of money from exclusive advertising contracts and long-term sponsorship of sports-related brands.

Up to the time of listing, the clubs have a long history of national football championship, including MU 7 times, Arsenal 10 times, FA cup (MU 7 times, Arsenal 5 times) and super cup football. playing English (MU 10 times, Arsenal 8 times). These are the most successful clubs in England as well as having the number of fans in Europe. MU has about 13 million fans in the UK and more than 75 million fans in the world.

With solid infrastructures, high rankings in domestic and continental seasons, a huge number of fans, in 1991, MU changed to a new form of limited company with shareholding and listing. listed on the London Stock Exchange for £ 18 million.

he stock listing is also a way for fans to support, build and be loyal to their favorite club.

The stock of the club goes up and down depending on what they achieve. In addition, from the up and down rankings in the rankings as well as the advertising contracts the club has with firms, businesses, the total number of tickets sold per game, training outstanding players. and later on, buying high class players for the club.

Just Rising, US Stocks Continued to Decline

The US stock market lost points when it closed on Tuesday although it had previously set a new internal record. Investors were somewhat disappointed to hear that the US would probably maintain tariffs on Chinese goods until after the Presidential election in November 2020.

Bloomberg reported that whether the US completely eliminates tariffs imposed on Chinese goods will depend on China. It is Beijing’s compliance with the first-stage trade agreement that the two sides are expected to sign on Wednesday (January 15).

The S&P 500 is at a record level with the average price / earnings ratio (P / E) of the stocks in the index at 18 times. According to Joe Saluzzi, Director of Themis Trading, investors view the Bloomberg news as a reason to take profits.

Mr. Saluzzi used to compare the current mood of investors with the character of super spy in the action film series The Bourne of Hollywood movies. According to him, US stocks are in a market like Jason Bourne. The first thing when Jason Bourne enters a room is to find a way out in case he needs to.

All three Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit an internal record before fading in the afternoon. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell at the close, Dow Jones closed with a slight gain.

The US stock market has risen sharply in recent weeks thanks to optimism that the US-China trade war escalation will help boost the profits of listed companies.

Reuters cites sources that China has pledged to buy an additional $ 80 billion in manufactured goods and an additional $ 50 billion in energy from the US in the next two years.

JPMorgan Chase, the largest US bank, rose 1.2 percent after the bank opened its fourth-quarter earnings report on Wall Street in 2019, overall profitability was better than forecast and revenue growth was good. in the transaction and underwriting sectors.

Wells Fargo shares plunged 5.4% after the financial report showed that profits dropped because the bank had to spend $ 1.5 billion on provision of legal expenses. Citigroup shares rose 1.6% thanks to earnings that exceeded expectations.

Tensions between the US and Iran caused the price of bitcoin in Iran to soar to $ 24,000

When tensions are reaching the peak between the US and Iran, on the peer-to-peer exchange P2P – LocalBitcon has appeared BTC bought for about 1 billion Iranian Rial (about $ 24,000), this is considered a high price. best ever in Iran.

On December 27, 2019, US contractor personnel were killed in the shooting of more than 30 rockets at Iraqi base near Kirkuk city.

On December 29, the US air strikes against Iranian groups, killing 24 militants in Qaim, Iraq. Two other locations in Syria were also attacked.

On December 31, the US embassy in Baghdad was surrounded by demonstrators.

At dawn on January 3, the US raided Baghdad airport, killing Commander Qasem Soleimani, Iran’s No. 2 power figure. On the same day, the US called on Iraqi citizens to “leave immediately” for fear of the consequences of the attack.

Bitcoin price skyrocketed in Iran due to tensions with the US
Currently, the BTC exchange rate in Iran compared to the global market is quite different (the current market price is about 7,350 USD). The cause is believed to be due to the US air strike that killed Iran’s Generalimimimani, causing the political situation in Iran to be increasingly chaotic, people in this country are trying to flee to Bitcoin for fear of the national currency. Their price will be devalued.

Ryan Selkis, founder of crypto analytics firm Messari, said the high price of bitcoin in Iran could come from the fact that Iranians are seeking to withdraw cash (Rial) due to fears that the war with the US will make The value of the Rial devalues, so people in Iran are forced to go to bitcoin and see bitcoin as a store of value for their assets.

On the other hand, the reported transaction volume on LocalBitcoins has bottomed out in recent months. This may be due to the Iranian government issuing restrictions on internet access nationwide since November amid nationwide protests in response to rising fuel prices.

Last month, the BTA reported that Iran was proposing a national cryptocurrency, considered one of the measures to counter US sanctions.

Healthcare Stocks Rose Sharply During EURO 2016

Healthcare stocks have experienced strong growth thanks to EURO 2016. Meanwhile, sports or technology stocks have shown a very disappointing performance.

If your dream team is a stock portfolio, which stock will you choose to enter, especially during a major sporting event? Just before the start of EURO 2016, CNBC tested the potential of players (stocks) that should be in your team, based on Kensho’s quantitative data analysis tool.

In the previous EURO season, the Stoxx Europe stock index of health service companies was more surprising with profits rising an average of over 2%, including companies such as Smith & Nephew, GSK and Shire. In contrast, technology stocks had the most disappointing performance, losing more than 2% on average during the same period.

Some analysts also made their own choices during sports tournaments. In April, the European financial conglomerate chose stocks from betting and travel companies such as PaddyPower Betfair and EasyJet.

However, in the previous season, these two groups of stocks were not successful when losing an average of 3% during the last 3 matches of the final round. Meanwhile, Punch Taverns, one of the UK’s largest bar and pub companies, also had a 20% share decline throughout the season. A stock expected to have a positive performance is the UK’s largest sports retailer: Sports Direct also saw a nearly 5% decline in stock value in the last two matches of last season. 

Adidas stock, the official sponsor of the EURO tournament, is also an object that investors will watch closely. According to data from Colin Cieszynski, this stock tends to level off while matches take place and plummets both before the season starts and after the season ends.

For UK only, Investec Wealth & Investment said June could be a very good month for pub businesses. And from an economic point of view, this could be profitable for the country’s travel and entertainment stocks.